[Global NK Publication Alert] The India-Pakistan Conflict and the Future of Nuclear Deterrence in the Korean Peninsula

  • NEWSLETTER
  • June 23, 2025

June 11, 2025

[Special Report]

Trump 2.0., the India-Pakistan Conflict, and the Future

of Nuclear Deterrence in the Korean Peninsula

Hyeongpil Ham, argues that Trump's “America First 2.0” is accelerating the dismantling of traditional alliances, prompting allies to explore their own security strategies. The author suggests that South Korea needs to redefine its security sovereignty through strategic discussions on whether to redeploy tactical nuclear forces and rebalancing of the cost-sharing system within the alliance.


Professor Emeritus Bong-geun Jun argues that while South Korea's high public support for its own nuclear arsenal is based on the dual motivations of prestige and security, the actual strategic benefits of nuclear development are unclear. The author suggests that a new policy paradigm needs to be established that balances energy security and nonproliferation principles, secures international trust, and prudently manages the public opinion.


Professor Hanbyeol Sohn emphasizes that North Korea's declared “new course” is a strategic shift toward the actual deployment of tactical nuclear weapons. In response, Son suggests that South Korea should upgrade its integrated command, control, and surveillance (C4ISR) system, substantially enhance its extended deterrence capabilities.


Professor Tae-hyung Kim argues that the international community is entering the “Third Nuclear Age,” which is simultaneously heightening the risk of horizontal and vertical proliferation. Using the case of the India-Pakistan conflict, Professor Kim emphasizes that nuclear armament does not necessarily guarantee stability. In this context, he suggests that South Korea also needs to closely examine the risk of miscalculation.


* Also available for download in Korean.


  • Hyeongpil Ham, ① Alliance Strategy Under Trump 2.0 and the Future of Extended Deterrence [Read Special Report]
  • Bong-geun Jun, ② A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Indigenous Nuclear Armament And the Pursuit of Civilian Nuclear Fuel Cycle Capabilities [Read Special Report]
  • Hanbyeol Sohn, ③ North Korea’s Nuclear Modernization: Assessment and Outlook [Read Special Report]
  • Tae-hyung Kim, ④ The India-Pakistan Nuclear Rivalry and Strategic Lessons to South Korea’s Nuclear Armament Discourse [Read Special Report]
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